1. Introduction

MAI: AI Agents for Predictive Markets and DeFi

The convergence of blockchain technology and AI is reshaping how we think about finance, from prediction markets to complex and innovative derivatives. New forms of intelligence—AI agents—promise to transform these DeFi niches by automating the tasks of data gathering, analysis, risk assessment, and trading.

This litepaper outlines MAI, a vision for an AI agent ecosystem that harnesses Generative AI models, specialized tools, and orchestrated reasoning frameworks. We highlight the synergy between predictive markets, advanced derivatives, and self-directed AI agents—all in a DeFi context.

1.1 Why AI in Prediction Markets & Derivatives?

• Prediction markets let users speculate on future events like political elections, sports outcomes, or macroeconomic scenarios. Historically, they’ve often outperformed polls or traditional forecasting methods because participants have “skin in the game.”

• Derivatives are foundational in finance, offering hedging, leverage, and speculation on underlying assets (commodities, indexes, cryptos). DeFi-based derivatives expand these instruments to a global, permissionless user base.

• AI agents can supercharge both areas, leveraging real-time data, scanning for anomalies, and executing trades or market positions with minimal human intervention.

By uniting these domains under a cohesive AI agent framework, MAI seeks to enable deeper liquidity, better price discovery, and more robust market mechanics than ever before.